Real Estate Market Update for December 2023 - Judson Gregory
  • San Francisco Real Estate Professional, CA License #01936073

    Judson Gregory | San Francisco Realtor® |  License #01936073 | Compass

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Real Estate Market Update for December 2023

Posted by Judson Gregory on November 28, 2023
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What’s New in San Francisco Real Estate

Analytics and charts from Compass

As the year comes to a close, the average weekly interest rate has been declining, with one of the biggest 2-day drops in rates in decades posted on December 15, an indicator that inflationary pressures are lowering. The Federal Reserve announced they would likely implement three quarter-point rate decreases in 2024. Financial markets rebounded substantially, and mortgage applications are increasing. Accordingly, we may see an increase in sales this month when the market is typically slowest, and a bump in buyer activity in early 2024 if these trends continue.

Home Sales Volume and Prices

House Price Trends

Year over year, the median sales price for houses in October 2023 was down about 1.5%.

Condo Price Trends

Year over year, the median sales price for condos in October 2023 was down nearly 8%.

New Listings Coming on Market

New listings dropped in October on the heels of the surge in inventory in September. As is typically the case, we expect to see new listings decline to their low point in December.

As of December 1, of the listings for sale, 28% were houses and 72% were condos, co-ops, TICs, and townhouses.

New Listings and Home Sales Volume - Longer Term Trends

The number of new listings and sales are at their lowest points since the great recession. As the gap between these two lines get smaller, there is greater pressure on prices.

Active Listings on Market - Longer Term Trends

Price Reductions on Active Listings

Price reductions typically peak in October before the winter holiday slowdown starts in mid-November.

Overbidding List Prices

The percentage of houses selling over list price in November was 63% while for condos, co-ops and TICs, 31% sold over list.

On average, houses are selling 4.5% above asking price and condos are selling about 3.5% below.

Days on Market

Houses continue to have significantly lower days on market than condos.

Mortgage Interest Rate Trends

As of November 30, the weekly average 30-year interest rate declined to 7.22%. On December 15, after the Federal Reserve made its announcement of likely rate decreases in 2024, mortgage rates dropped significantly, with the average rate on a 30-year fixed loan at 6.64%.

The information herein is based on or derived from information generally available to the public and/or from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information.

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